Head to head

Ecuador vs New Zealand

If they played today

Ecuador at home

66% / 20% / 14%

Ecuador win / draw / New Zealand win

Ecuador–New Zealand

2–0 12.2%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.5%
3–0 8.3%

Neutral venue

59% / 22% / 19%

Ecuador win / draw / New Zealand win

Ecuador–New Zealand

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
2–0 10.6%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.5%

New Zealand at home

51% / 24% / 25%

Ecuador win / draw / New Zealand win

Ecuador–New Zealand

1–1 11.6%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 9.0%
0–1 7.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	New Zealand
Current Elo	1964	1689
Elo rank	16th	68th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1825 (2025)
Matches played	595	419
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	172W 74D 173L
Goals for	719	733
Goals against	907	634
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	13–0 vs Fiji · 1981-08-16 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–10 vs Australia · 1936-07-11 · Soccer Ashes
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.02

When they've met

Meetings

Ecuador 1W 0D 0L

Goals

2–0

Ecuador first

First meeting

2–0

Ecuador won · 2025-11-18 · Friendly

Most recent

2–0

Ecuador won · 2025-11-18 · Friendly

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-11-18	2–0	Neutral	Friendly