Head to head

Ecuador vs Netherlands

If they played today

Ecuador at home

38% / 26% / 36%

Ecuador win / draw / Netherlands win

Ecuador–Netherlands

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.8%
0–1 9.4%
2–1 8.3%
1–2 8.0%

Neutral venue

31% / 26% / 44%

Ecuador win / draw / Netherlands win

Ecuador–Netherlands

1–1 12.2%
0–1 10.3%
1–2 9.0%
1–0 8.3%
0–2 7.6%

Netherlands at home

24% / 24% / 52%

Ecuador win / draw / Netherlands win

Ecuador–Netherlands

1–1 11.6%
0–1 11.0%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 9.1%
1–0 6.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Netherlands
Current Elo	1964	2048
Elo rank	16th	8th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	2198 (2014)
Matches played	595	883
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	455W 200D 228L
Goals for	719	1852
Goals against	907	1081
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	11–0 vs San Marino · 2011-09-02 · UEFA Euro qualification
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–7 vs Germany · 1959-10-21 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.83

When they've met

Meetings

Ecuador 0W 3D 1L

Goals

3–4

Ecuador first

First meeting

0–1

Netherlands won · 2006-03-01 · Friendly

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2026-03-31 · Friendly

Ecuador's biggest win

—

Never beaten Netherlands

Netherlands' biggest win

1–0

2006-03-01 · Friendly

Most common result

1–1

Ecuador first · 3 times, last 2026-03-31

Current run

Unbeaten in 4

Netherlands · since 2006-03-01

4 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2026-03-31	1–1	Netherlands home	Friendly
2022-11-25	1–1	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
2014-05-17	1–1	Netherlands home	Friendly
2006-03-01	0–1	Netherlands home	Friendly