Head to head

Ecuador vs Nepal

If they played today

Ecuador at home

95% / 4% / 0%

Ecuador win / draw / Nepal win

Ecuador–Nepal

3–0 21.1%
2–0 19.7%
4–0 17.0%
1–0 12.2%
5–0 11.0%

Neutral venue

93% / 6% / 1%

Ecuador win / draw / Nepal win

Ecuador–Nepal

3–0 19.2%
2–0 19.1%
4–0 14.5%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 8.8%

Nepal at home

89% / 9% / 2%

Ecuador win / draw / Nepal win

Ecuador–Nepal

2–0 17.8%
3–0 16.8%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 11.8%
5–0 6.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Nepal
Current Elo	1964	1103
Elo rank	16th	193rd
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1495 (1972)
Matches played	595	268
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	63W 47D 158L
Goals for	719	229
Goals against	907	602
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	7–0 vs Bhutan · 1999-09-26 · South Asian Games
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–16 vs South Korea · 2003-09-29 · AFC Asian Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.00

When they've met

Ecuador and Nepal have never played each other.