Head to head

Ecuador vs Morocco

If they played today

Ecuador at home

40% / 26% / 34%

Ecuador win / draw / Morocco win

Ecuador–Morocco

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.9%
0–1 9.1%
2–1 8.5%
1–2 7.8%

Neutral venue

32% / 26% / 42%

Ecuador win / draw / Morocco win

Ecuador–Morocco

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.2%
1–2 8.8%
1–0 8.6%
2–1 7.5%

Morocco at home

25% / 25% / 50%

Ecuador win / draw / Morocco win

Ecuador–Morocco

1–1 11.7%
0–1 10.8%
1–2 9.5%
0–2 8.8%
1–0 7.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Morocco
Current Elo	1964	2029
Elo rank	16th	10th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	2055 (2026)
Matches played	595	623
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	309W 174D 140L
Goals for	719	926
Goals against	907	500
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	7–0 vs Lesotho · 2024-11-18 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–5 vs Serbia · 1960-01-01 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.10

When they've met

Meetings

Ecuador 0W 1D 0L

Goals

1–1

Ecuador first

First meeting

1–1

Drawn · 2026-03-27 · Friendly

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2026-03-27 · Friendly

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2026-03-27	1–1	Neutral	Friendly