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Head to head

Ecuador vs Mexico

If they played today

Ecuador at home
41% / 26% / 33%
Ecuador win / draw / Mexico win
Ecuador–Mexico
  • 1–1 12.4%
  • 1–0 10.1%
  • 0–1 8.8%
  • 2–1 8.7%
  • 1–2 7.6%
Neutral venue
33% / 26% / 41%
Ecuador win / draw / Mexico win
Ecuador–Mexico
  • 1–1 12.4%
  • 0–1 10.0%
  • 1–0 8.9%
  • 1–2 8.7%
  • 2–1 7.7%
Mexico at home
26% / 25% / 49%
Ecuador win / draw / Mexico win
Ecuador–Mexico
  • 1–1 11.8%
  • 0–1 10.7%
  • 1–2 9.5%
  • 0–2 8.6%
  • 1–0 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

 EcuadorMexico
Current Elo19642012
Elo rank16th12th
Peak Elo2028 (2026)2044 (2026)
Matches played5951008
All-time record184W 158D 253L518W 231D 259L
Goals for7191777
Goals against9071057
Biggest win6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly
World Cups won00
Expected World Cups0.080.64

When they've met

Meetings
27
Ecuador 4W 8D 15L
Goals
27–45
Ecuador first
First meeting
2–4
Mexico won · 1970-04-29 · Friendly
Most recent
0–2
Mexico won · 2026-06-30 · FIFA World Cup
Ecuador's biggest win
3–2
2021-10-27 · Friendly
Mexico's biggest win
4–2
2007-03-28 · Friendly
Most common result
1–2
Ecuador first · 6 times, last 2008-11-12
Current run
Unbeaten in 4
Mexico · since 2022-06-05
27 meetings
DateScoreVenueCompetition
2026-06-300–2Mexico homeFIFA World Cup
2025-10-141–1Mexico homeFriendly
2024-06-300–0NeutralCopa América
2022-06-050–0NeutralFriendly
2021-10-273–2NeutralFriendly
2019-06-092–3NeutralFriendly
2015-06-192–1NeutralCopa América
2014-05-311–3NeutralFriendly
2011-05-281–1NeutralFriendly
2010-09-042–1Mexico homeFriendly
2010-05-070–0NeutralFriendly
2008-11-121–2NeutralFriendly
2007-07-011–2NeutralCopa América
2007-03-282–4NeutralFriendly
2004-10-271–2NeutralFriendly
2004-07-131–2NeutralCopa América
2004-03-101–2Mexico homeFriendly
2002-06-091–2NeutralFIFA World Cup
2000-09-200–2NeutralFriendly
1999-10-270–0NeutralFriendly
1999-04-140–0Mexico homeFriendly
1997-06-221–1NeutralCopa América
1997-02-051–3Mexico homeFriendly
1996-10-231–0NeutralFriendly
1993-06-300–2Ecuador homeCopa América
1984-12-042–3NeutralFriendly
1970-04-292–4Mexico homeFriendly