Head to head

Ecuador vs Malawi

If they played today

Ecuador at home

83% / 13% / 5%

Ecuador win / draw / Malawi win

Ecuador–Malawi

2–0 15.9%
3–0 13.6%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 8.6%
2–1 7.4%

Neutral venue

77% / 16% / 8%

Ecuador win / draw / Malawi win

Ecuador–Malawi

2–0 14.5%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.3%
2–1 8.7%
1–1 7.4%

Malawi at home

70% / 19% / 11%

Ecuador win / draw / Malawi win

Ecuador–Malawi

2–0 12.9%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.5%
3–0 9.3%
1–1 8.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Malawi
Current Elo	1964	1438
Elo rank	16th	137th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1669 (1985)
Matches played	595	644
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	219W 182D 243L
Goals for	719	753
Goals against	907	832
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.00

When they've met

Ecuador and Malawi have never played each other.