Head to head

Ecuador vs Luxembourg

If they played today

Ecuador at home

81% / 14% / 6%

Ecuador win / draw / Luxembourg win

Ecuador–Luxembourg

2–0 15.5%
3–0 12.8%
1–0 12.4%
4–0 8.0%
2–1 7.9%

Neutral venue

75% / 17% / 9%

Ecuador win / draw / Luxembourg win

Ecuador–Luxembourg

2–0 14.0%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.7%
2–1 9.0%
1–1 7.8%

Luxembourg at home

68% / 19% / 13%

Ecuador win / draw / Luxembourg win

Ecuador–Luxembourg

2–0 12.5%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.6%
1–1 9.2%
3–0 8.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Luxembourg
Current Elo	1964	1470
Elo rank	16th	124th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1567 (2023)
Matches played	595	467
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	50W 63D 354L
Goals for	719	296
Goals against	907	1204
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	4–0 vs Moldova · 2018-09-08 · UEFA Nations League
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–9 vs Portugal · 2023-09-11 · UEFA Euro qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.00

When they've met

Ecuador and Luxembourg have never played each other.