Head to head

Ecuador vs Lesotho

If they played today

Ecuador at home

84% / 12% / 4%

Ecuador win / draw / Lesotho win

Ecuador–Lesotho

2–0 16.2%
3–0 14.0%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 9.1%
2–1 7.1%

Neutral venue

78% / 15% / 7%

Ecuador win / draw / Lesotho win

Ecuador–Lesotho

2–0 14.8%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.8%
2–1 8.5%
1–1 7.1%

Lesotho at home

71% / 18% / 11%

Ecuador win / draw / Lesotho win

Ecuador–Lesotho

2–0 13.2%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 9.7%
2–1 9.4%
1–1 8.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Lesotho
Current Elo	1964	1419
Elo rank	16th	143rd
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1509 (1970)
Matches played	595	296
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	54W 94D 148L
Goals for	719	230
Goals against	907	466
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	5–0 vs Eswatini · 2006-04-14 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–7 vs Morocco · 2024-11-18 · African Cup of Nations qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.00

When they've met

Ecuador and Lesotho have never played each other.