Head to head

Ecuador vs Kenya

If they played today

Ecuador at home

81% / 14% / 6%

Ecuador win / draw / Kenya win

Ecuador–Kenya

2–0 15.4%
3–0 12.8%
1–0 12.4%
4–0 7.9%
2–1 7.9%

Neutral venue

75% / 17% / 9%

Ecuador win / draw / Kenya win

Ecuador–Kenya

2–0 14.0%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.6%
2–1 9.0%
1–1 7.9%

Kenya at home

68% / 19% / 13%

Ecuador win / draw / Kenya win

Ecuador–Kenya

2–0 12.4%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.3%
3–0 8.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Kenya
Current Elo	1964	1472
Elo rank	16th	123rd
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1644 (1961)
Matches played	595	706
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	268W 176D 262L
Goals for	719	978
Goals against	907	958
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	10–0 vs Zanzibar · 1961-10-04 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	1–13 vs Uganda · 1932-08-25 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.00

When they've met

Ecuador and Kenya have never played each other.