Head to head

Ecuador vs Jamaica

If they played today

Ecuador at home

69% / 19% / 12%

Ecuador win / draw / Jamaica win

Ecuador–Jamaica

2–0 12.7%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.6%
1–1 9.0%
3–0 9.0%

Neutral venue

62% / 22% / 17%

Ecuador win / draw / Jamaica win

Ecuador–Jamaica

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.1%
1–1 10.3%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.1%

Jamaica at home

54% / 24% / 22%

Ecuador win / draw / Jamaica win

Ecuador–Jamaica

1–1 11.3%
1–0 11.1%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.6%
0–1 6.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Jamaica
Current Elo	1964	1653
Elo rank	16th	77th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1799 (2011)
Matches played	595	663
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	258W 154D 251L
Goals for	719	882
Goals against	907	874
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	12–0 vs Saint Martin · 2004-11-24 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–9 vs Costa Rica · 1999-02-24 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	<0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Ecuador 4W 1D 0L

Goals

12–4

Ecuador first

First meeting

2–1

Ecuador won · 1996-10-04 · Friendly

Most recent

3–1

Ecuador won · 2024-06-26 · Copa América

Ecuador's biggest win

5–2

2011-09-02 · Friendly

Jamaica's biggest win

—

Never beaten Ecuador

Current run

Unbeaten in 5

Ecuador · since 1996-10-04

5 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2024-06-26	3–1	Neutral	Copa América
2018-09-07	2–0	Neutral	Friendly
2011-09-02	5–2	Ecuador home	Friendly
2009-08-12	0–0	Neutral	Friendly
1996-10-04	2–1	Ecuador home	Friendly