Head to head

Ecuador vs Italy

If they played today

Ecuador at home

48% / 25% / 27%

Ecuador win / draw / Italy win

Ecuador–Italy

1–1 11.9%
1–0 10.7%
2–1 9.4%
2–0 8.5%
0–1 7.5%

Neutral venue

40% / 26% / 34%

Ecuador win / draw / Italy win

Ecuador–Italy

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.0%
0–1 9.0%
2–1 8.6%
1–2 7.7%

Italy at home

32% / 26% / 41%

Ecuador win / draw / Italy win

Ecuador–Italy

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.1%
1–2 8.8%
1–0 8.7%
2–1 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Italy
Current Elo	1964	1922
Elo rank	16th	19th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	2140 (2021)
Matches played	595	893
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	477W 243D 173L
Goals for	719	1565
Goals against	907	876
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	4
Expected World Cups	0.08	1.66

When they've met

Meetings

Ecuador 0W 1D 2L

Goals

1–5

Ecuador first

First meeting

0–2

Italy won · 2002-06-03 · FIFA World Cup

Most recent

0–2

Italy won · 2024-03-24 · Friendly

Ecuador's biggest win

—

Never beaten Italy

Italy's biggest win

2–0

2024-03-24 · Friendly

Most common result

0–2

Ecuador first · twice, last 2024-03-24

Current run

Unbeaten in 3

Italy · since 2002-06-03

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2024-03-24	0–2	Neutral	Friendly
2005-06-11	1–1	Neutral	Friendly
2002-06-03	0–2	Neutral	FIFA World Cup