Head to head

Ecuador vs Iceland

If they played today

Ecuador at home

70% / 19% / 11%

Ecuador win / draw / Iceland win

Ecuador–Iceland

2–0 12.9%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.5%
3–0 9.3%
1–1 8.8%

Neutral venue

63% / 21% / 16%

Ecuador win / draw / Iceland win

Ecuador–Iceland

1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.4%
1–1 10.1%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.4%

Iceland at home

55% / 24% / 21%

Ecuador win / draw / Iceland win

Ecuador–Iceland

1–0 11.2%
1–1 11.2%
2–0 9.8%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Iceland
Current Elo	1964	1639
Elo rank	16th	81st
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1885 (2017)
Matches played	595	522
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	159W 102D 261L
Goals for	719	632
Goals against	907	876
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	9–0 vs Faroe Islands · 1985-07-10 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	2–14 vs Denmark · 1967-08-23 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	<0.01

When they've met

Ecuador and Iceland have never played each other.