Head to head

Ecuador vs Hong Kong

If they played today

Ecuador at home

89% / 9% / 2%

Ecuador win / draw / Hong Kong win

Ecuador–Hong Kong

2–0 17.7%
3–0 16.6%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 11.6%
5–0 6.5%

Neutral venue

84% / 12% / 4%

Ecuador win / draw / Hong Kong win

Ecuador–Hong Kong

2–0 16.3%
3–0 14.2%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 9.2%
2–1 7.0%

Hong Kong at home

78% / 15% / 7%

Ecuador win / draw / Hong Kong win

Ecuador–Hong Kong

2–0 14.9%
1–0 12.4%
3–0 11.9%
2–1 8.4%
4–0 7.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Hong Kong
Current Elo	1964	1311
Elo rank	16th	167th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1578 (1963)
Matches played	595	447
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	143W 96D 208L
Goals for	719	648
Goals against	907	732
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	15–0 vs Guam · 2005-03-07 · EAFF Championship
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–7 vs Argentina · 2014-10-14 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.00

When they've met

Ecuador and Hong Kong have never played each other.