Head to head

Ecuador vs Guinea

If they played today

Ecuador at home

74% / 17% / 9%

Ecuador win / draw / Guinea win

Ecuador–Guinea

2–0 13.8%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.5%
2–1 9.0%
1–1 8.0%

Neutral venue

67% / 20% / 13%

Ecuador win / draw / Guinea win

Ecuador–Guinea

2–0 12.3%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.4%
3–0 8.5%

Guinea at home

60% / 22% / 18%

Ecuador win / draw / Guinea win

Ecuador–Guinea

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.7%
1–1 10.6%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Guinea
Current Elo	1964	1579
Elo rank	16th	90th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1799 (1977)
Matches played	595	539
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	200W 153D 186L
Goals for	719	730
Goals against	907	660
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	6–0 vs Vanuatu · 2024-03-21 · FIFA Series
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–6 vs DR Congo · 1972-07-02 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.00

When they've met

Ecuador and Guinea have never played each other.