Head to head

Ecuador vs Guatemala

If they played today

Ecuador at home

70% / 19% / 12%

Ecuador win / draw / Guatemala win

Ecuador–Guatemala

2–0 12.9%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.5%
3–0 9.2%
1–1 8.9%

Neutral venue

63% / 21% / 16%

Ecuador win / draw / Guatemala win

Ecuador–Guatemala

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.3%
1–1 10.1%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.3%

Guatemala at home

55% / 24% / 22%

Ecuador win / draw / Guatemala win

Ecuador–Guatemala

1–1 11.2%
1–0 11.2%
2–1 9.8%
2–0 9.7%
0–1 6.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Guatemala
Current Elo	1964	1642
Elo rank	16th	80th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1714 (2004)
Matches played	595	554
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	199W 140D 215L
Goals for	719	774
Goals against	907	763
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	10–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 2021-06-04 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	1–9 vs Costa Rica · 1955-07-24 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Ecuador 6W 2D 1L

Goals

14–3

Ecuador first

First meeting

0–1

Guatemala won · 1984-12-09 · Friendly

Most recent

3–0

Ecuador won · 2026-06-07 · Friendly

Ecuador's biggest win

3–0

2026-06-07 · Friendly

Guatemala's biggest win

1–0

1984-12-09 · Friendly

Most common result

2–0

Ecuador first · 3 times, last 2024-03-21

Current run

Unbeaten in 8

Ecuador · since 1992-05-24

9 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2026-06-07	3–0	Neutral	Friendly
2024-03-21	2–0	Neutral	Friendly
2018-09-11	2–0	Neutral	Friendly
2003-08-20	2–0	Ecuador home	Friendly
2002-01-12	1–0	Ecuador home	Friendly
1999-06-04	3–1	Neutral	Friendly
1997-03-25	0–0	Guatemala home	Friendly
1992-05-24	1–1	Guatemala home	Friendly
1984-12-09	0–1	Guatemala home	Friendly