Head to head

Ecuador vs Germany

If they played today

Ecuador at home

43% / 26% / 32%

Ecuador win / draw / Germany win

Ecuador–Germany

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.2%
2–1 8.9%
0–1 8.5%
1–2 7.4%

Neutral venue

35% / 26% / 39%

Ecuador win / draw / Germany win

Ecuador–Germany

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.9%
1–0 9.2%
1–2 8.5%
2–1 7.9%

Germany at home

28% / 25% / 47%

Ecuador win / draw / Germany win

Ecuador–Germany

1–1 12.0%
0–1 10.6%
1–2 9.3%
0–2 8.3%
1–0 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Germany
Current Elo	1964	1993
Elo rank	16th	14th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	2267 (2014)
Matches played	595	1035
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	601W 214D 220L
Goals for	719	2331
Goals against	907	1203
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	16–0 vs Russia · 1912-07-01 · Olympic Games
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–6 vs Spain · 2020-11-17 · UEFA Nations League
World Cups won	0	4
Expected World Cups	0.08	2.12

When they've met

Meetings

Ecuador 1W 0D 2L

Goals

4–8

Ecuador first

First meeting

0–3

Germany won · 2006-06-20 · FIFA World Cup

Most recent

2–1

Ecuador won · 2026-06-25 · FIFA World Cup

Ecuador's biggest win

2–1

2026-06-25 · FIFA World Cup

Germany's biggest win

3–0

2006-06-20 · FIFA World Cup

Current run

Won the last meeting

Ecuador · since 2026-06-25

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2026-06-25	2–1	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
2013-05-29	2–4	Neutral	Friendly
2006-06-20	0–3	Germany home	FIFA World Cup