Head to head

Ecuador vs Gambia

If they played today

Ecuador at home

77% / 16% / 8%

Ecuador win / draw / Gambia win

Ecuador–Gambia

2–0 14.4%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.3%
2–1 8.7%
1–1 7.4%

Neutral venue

70% / 19% / 11%

Ecuador win / draw / Gambia win

Ecuador–Gambia

2–0 12.9%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.5%
3–0 9.2%
1–1 8.8%

Gambia at home

63% / 21% / 16%

Ecuador win / draw / Gambia win

Ecuador–Gambia

1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.4%
1–1 10.1%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Gambia
Current Elo	1964	1540
Elo rank	16th	99th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1570 (2022)
Matches played	595	266
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	73W 75D 118L
Goals for	719	279
Goals against	907	370
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	7–0 vs Seychelles · 2025-10-14 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	1–7 vs Ghana · 1978-01-17 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.00

When they've met

Ecuador and Gambia have never played each other.