Head to head

Ecuador vs Ethiopia

If they played today

Ecuador at home

85% / 11% / 4%

Ecuador win / draw / Ethiopia win

Ecuador–Ethiopia

2–0 16.6%
3–0 14.6%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 9.6%
2–1 6.7%

Neutral venue

79% / 14% / 6%

Ecuador win / draw / Ethiopia win

Ecuador–Ethiopia

2–0 15.1%
1–0 12.4%
3–0 12.3%
2–1 8.2%
4–0 7.5%

Ethiopia at home

73% / 17% / 10%

Ecuador win / draw / Ethiopia win

Ecuador–Ethiopia

2–0 13.6%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.2%
2–1 9.2%
1–1 8.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Ethiopia
Current Elo	1964	1393
Elo rank	16th	148th
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1641 (1968)
Matches played	595	409
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	144W 93D 172L
Goals for	719	549
Goals against	907	595
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.00

When they've met

Ecuador and Ethiopia have never played each other.