Head to head

Ecuador vs Estonia

If they played today

Ecuador at home

83% / 12% / 5%

Ecuador win / draw / Estonia win

Ecuador–Estonia

2–0 16.1%
3–0 13.9%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 8.9%
2–1 7.2%

Neutral venue

77% / 15% / 7%

Ecuador win / draw / Estonia win

Ecuador–Estonia

2–0 14.7%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.6%
2–1 8.5%
1–1 7.2%

Estonia at home

71% / 18% / 11%

Ecuador win / draw / Estonia win

Ecuador–Estonia

2–0 13.1%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 9.5%
2–1 9.4%
1–1 8.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Estonia
Current Elo	1964	1425
Elo rank	16th	141st
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1607 (2018)
Matches played	595	550
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	136W 122D 292L
Goals for	719	544
Goals against	907	974
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	6–0 vs Gibraltar · 2017-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	2–10 vs Finland · 1922-08-11 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Ecuador 2W 0D 0L

Goals

3–1

Ecuador first

First meeting

1–0

Ecuador won · 2003-02-09 · Friendly

Most recent

2–1

Ecuador won · 2003-02-12 · Friendly

Ecuador's biggest win

2–1

2003-02-12 · Friendly

Estonia's biggest win

—

Never beaten Ecuador

Current run

Won last 2

Ecuador · since 2003-02-09

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2003-02-12	2–1	Ecuador home	Friendly
2003-02-09	1–0	Ecuador home	Friendly