Head to head

Ecuador vs Eritrea

If they played today

Ecuador at home

93% / 6% / 1%

Ecuador win / draw / Eritrea win

Ecuador–Eritrea

3–0 19.4%
2–0 19.2%
4–0 14.7%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 8.9%

Neutral venue

89% / 9% / 2%

Ecuador win / draw / Eritrea win

Ecuador–Eritrea

2–0 17.9%
3–0 16.9%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 12.0%
5–0 6.8%

Eritrea at home

85% / 11% / 4%

Ecuador win / draw / Eritrea win

Ecuador–Eritrea

2–0 16.5%
3–0 14.5%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 9.5%
2–1 6.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Eritrea
Current Elo	1964	1197
Elo rank	16th	181st
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1511 (1994)
Matches played	595	71
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	11W 16D 44L
Goals for	719	48
Goals against	907	121
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	3–1 vs Somalia · 2009-12-05 · CECAFA Cup
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	1–6 vs Angola · 2007-03-25 · African Cup of Nations qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.00

When they've met

Ecuador and Eritrea have never played each other.