Head to head

Ecuador vs Equatorial Guinea

If they played today

Ecuador at home

82% / 13% / 5%

Ecuador win / draw / Equatorial Guinea win

Ecuador–Equatorial Guinea

2–0 15.8%
3–0 13.4%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 8.5%
2–1 7.5%

Neutral venue

76% / 16% / 8%

Ecuador win / draw / Equatorial Guinea win

Ecuador–Equatorial Guinea

2–0 14.4%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.2%
2–1 8.7%
1–1 7.5%

Equatorial Guinea at home

70% / 19% / 12%

Ecuador win / draw / Equatorial Guinea win

Ecuador–Equatorial Guinea

2–0 12.8%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.5%
3–0 9.1%
1–1 8.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ecuador	Equatorial Guinea
Current Elo	1964	1445
Elo rank	16th	131st
Peak Elo	2028 (2026)	1633 (2024)
Matches played	595	179
All-time record	184W 158D 253L	49W 40D 90L
Goals for	719	156
Goals against	907	262
Biggest win	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly	4–0 vs Ivory Coast · 2024-01-22 · African Cup of Nations
Biggest loss	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América	0–6 vs Congo · 1990-12-13 · UDEAC Cup
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.08	0.00

When they've met

Ecuador and Equatorial Guinea have never played each other.