Head to head

Dominica vs United States Virgin Islands

If they played today

Dominica at home

60% / 22% / 18%

Dominica win / draw / United States Virgin Islands win

Dominica–United States Virgin Islands

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.7%
1–1 10.6%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.7%

Neutral venue

52% / 24% / 24%

Dominica win / draw / United States Virgin Islands win

Dominica–United States Virgin Islands

1–1 11.6%
1–0 11.0%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 9.1%
0–1 6.9%

United States Virgin Islands at home

44% / 26% / 31%

Dominica win / draw / United States Virgin Islands win

Dominica–United States Virgin Islands

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.3%
2–1 9.0%
0–1 8.4%
2–0 7.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Dominica	United States Virgin Islands
Current Elo	1173	990
Elo rank	185th	206th
Peak Elo	1520 (1938)	1507 (1999)
Matches played	215	78
All-time record	52W 46D 117L	10W 12D 56L
Goals for	250	54
Goals against	436	295
Biggest win	10–0 vs British Virgin Islands · 2010-10-15 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification	4–0 vs Marshall Islands · 2025-08-14 · Outrigger Challenge Cup
Biggest loss	0–10 vs Mexico · 2004-06-19 · FIFA World Cup qualification	1–14 vs Saint Lucia · 2001-04-14 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Meetings

Dominica 1W 0D 0L

Goals

5–0

Dominica first

First meeting

5–0

Dominica won · 2004-01-31 · Friendly

Most recent

5–0

Dominica won · 2004-01-31 · Friendly

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2004-01-31	5–0	Neutral	Friendly