Head to head

Djibouti vs Ethiopia

If they played today

Djibouti at home
22% / 24% / 54%
Djibouti win / draw / Ethiopia win
Djibouti–Ethiopia
  • 1–1 11.3%
  • 0–1 11.1%
  • 1–2 9.8%
  • 0–2 9.7%
  • 1–0 6.5%
Neutral venue
16% / 21% / 62%
Djibouti win / draw / Ethiopia win
Djibouti–Ethiopia
  • 0–1 11.6%
  • 0–2 11.3%
  • 1–1 10.2%
  • 1–2 9.9%
  • 0–3 7.3%
Ethiopia at home
12% / 19% / 70%
Djibouti win / draw / Ethiopia win
Djibouti–Ethiopia
  • 0–2 12.8%
  • 0–1 12.0%
  • 1–2 9.5%
  • 0–3 9.1%
  • 1–1 8.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

 DjiboutiEthiopia
Current Elo10751393
Elo rank194th148th
Peak Elo1474 (1947)1641 (1968)
Matches played111409
All-time record7W 10D 94L144W 93D 172L
Goals for74549
Goals against401595
Biggest win4–1 vs Yemen DPR · 1988-02-25 · Friendly10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly
Biggest loss1–10 vs Uganda · 2001-12-09 · CECAFA Cup0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won01
Expected African Cup of Nations0.001.67

When they've met

Meetings
19
Djibouti 0W 2D 17L
Goals
13–77
Djibouti first
First meeting
0–5
Ethiopia won · 1947-12-05 · Friendly
Most recent
1–6
Ethiopia won · 2025-03-24 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Djibouti's biggest win
Never beaten Ethiopia
Ethiopia's biggest win
10–2
1954-05-01 · Friendly
Most common result
0–2
Djibouti first · 4 times, last 1986-06-03
Current run
Unbeaten in 19
Ethiopia · since 1947-12-05
19 meetings
DateScoreVenueCompetition
2025-03-241–6NeutralFIFA World Cup qualification
2024-06-091–1NeutralFIFA World Cup qualification
2009-11-300–5NeutralCECAFA Cup
2006-11-280–4Ethiopia homeCECAFA Cup
2005-12-030–6NeutralCECAFA Cup
2000-11-252–4NeutralCECAFA Cup
1986-06-030–2Djibouti homeFriendly
1986-03-181–1Djibouti homeFriendly
1986-03-141–5Djibouti homeFriendly
1984-06-030–2Ethiopia homeFriendly
1984-03-230–2Djibouti homeFriendly
1983-03-292–4Ethiopia homeFriendly
1983-03-271–8Ethiopia homeFriendly
1954-06-021–2Djibouti homeFriendly
1954-06-010–2Djibouti homeFriendly
1954-05-012–10Ethiopia homeFriendly
1949-05-010–6Ethiopia homeFriendly
1948-06-011–2Djibouti homeFriendly
1947-12-050–5Djibouti homeFriendly