Head to head

Denmark vs Tonga

If they played today

Denmark at home

95% / 4% / 0%

Denmark win / draw / Tonga win

Denmark–Tonga

3–0 21.1%
2–0 19.7%
4–0 17.0%
1–0 12.2%
5–0 11.0%

Neutral venue

93% / 6% / 1%

Denmark win / draw / Tonga win

Denmark–Tonga

3–0 19.3%
2–0 19.1%
4–0 14.6%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 8.8%

Tonga at home

89% / 9% / 2%

Denmark win / draw / Tonga win

Denmark–Tonga

2–0 17.8%
3–0 16.8%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 11.8%
5–0 6.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Denmark	Tonga
Current Elo	1918	1056
Elo rank	21st	198th
Peak Elo	2028 (2021)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	874	68
All-time record	402W 185D 287L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	1587	81
Goals against	1173	253
Biggest win	17–1 vs France · 1908-10-22 · Olympic Games	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	1–11 vs Basque Country · 1937-08-29 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.15	0.00

When they've met

Denmark and Tonga have never played each other.