Head to head

Cuba vs Tonga

If they played today

Cuba at home

72% / 18% / 10%

Cuba win / draw / Tonga win

Cuba–Tonga

2–0 13.3%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 9.8%
2–1 9.3%
1–1 8.5%

Neutral venue

65% / 21% / 15%

Cuba win / draw / Tonga win

Cuba–Tonga

2–0 11.8%
1–0 11.8%
2–1 9.8%
1–1 9.8%
3–0 7.9%

Tonga at home

57% / 23% / 20%

Cuba win / draw / Tonga win

Cuba–Tonga

1–0 11.3%
1–1 10.9%
2–0 10.2%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Cuba	Tonga
Current Elo	1407	1056
Elo rank	146th	198th
Peak Elo	1740 (2005)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	397	68
All-time record	139W 90D 168L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	532	81
Goals against	605	253
Biggest win	11–0 vs Turks and Caicos Islands · 2018-09-08 · CONCACAF Nations League qualification	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–8 vs Russia · 2023-11-20 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.03	0.00

When they've met

Cuba and Tonga have never played each other.