Head to head

Cuba vs Samoa

If they played today

Cuba at home

60% / 22% / 18%

Cuba win / draw / Samoa win

Cuba–Samoa

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.8%
1–1 10.5%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.8%

Neutral venue

52% / 24% / 24%

Cuba win / draw / Samoa win

Cuba–Samoa

1–1 11.5%
1–0 11.0%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.3%
0–1 6.8%

Samoa at home

44% / 26% / 30%

Cuba win / draw / Samoa win

Cuba–Samoa

1–1 12.2%
1–0 10.4%
2–1 9.0%
0–1 8.2%
2–0 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Cuba	Samoa
Current Elo	1407	1216
Elo rank	146th	179th
Peak Elo	1740 (2005)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	397	71
All-time record	139W 90D 168L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	532	99
Goals against	605	249
Biggest win	11–0 vs Turks and Caicos Islands · 2018-09-08 · CONCACAF Nations League qualification	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–8 vs Russia · 2023-11-20 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.03	0.00

When they've met

Cuba and Samoa have never played each other.