Head to head

Cuba vs Northern Ireland

If they played today

Cuba at home

26% / 25% / 50%

Cuba win / draw / Northern Ireland win

Cuba–Northern Ireland

1–1 11.8%
0–1 10.8%
1–2 9.5%
0–2 8.8%
1–0 7.3%

Neutral venue

19% / 23% / 58%

Cuba win / draw / Northern Ireland win

Cuba–Northern Ireland

0–1 11.4%
1–1 10.8%
0–2 10.3%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.3%

Northern Ireland at home

14% / 20% / 65%

Cuba win / draw / Northern Ireland win

Cuba–Northern Ireland

0–2 11.9%
0–1 11.8%
1–2 9.8%
1–1 9.7%
0–3 8.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Cuba	Northern Ireland
Current Elo	1407	1667
Elo rank	146th	73rd
Peak Elo	1740 (2005)	1758 (1986)
Matches played	397	707
All-time record	139W 90D 168L	185W 160D 362L
Goals for	532	741
Goals against	605	1296
Biggest win	11–0 vs Turks and Caicos Islands · 2018-09-08 · CONCACAF Nations League qualification	7–0 vs Wales · 1930-02-01 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	0–8 vs Russia · 2023-11-20 · Friendly	0–13 vs England · 1882-02-18 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.03	0.04

When they've met

Cuba and Northern Ireland have never played each other.