Head to head

Cuba vs Mexico

If they played today

Cuba at home

8% / 16% / 75%

Cuba win / draw / Mexico win

Cuba–Mexico

0–2 14.2%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 10.9%
1–2 8.9%
1–1 7.7%

Neutral venue

5% / 13% / 81%

Cuba win / draw / Mexico win

Cuba–Mexico

0–2 15.6%
0–3 13.1%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 8.2%
1–2 7.7%

Mexico at home

3% / 10% / 87%

Cuba win / draw / Mexico win

Cuba–Mexico

0–2 17.0%
0–3 15.4%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 10.4%
1–2 6.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Cuba	Mexico
Current Elo	1407	2012
Elo rank	146th	12th
Peak Elo	1740 (2005)	2044 (2026)
Matches played	397	1008
All-time record	139W 90D 168L	518W 231D 259L
Goals for	532	1777
Goals against	605	1057
Biggest win	11–0 vs Turks and Caicos Islands · 2018-09-08 · CONCACAF Nations League qualification	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–8 vs Russia · 2023-11-20 · Friendly	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.03	0.64
CONCACAF Gold Cups won	0	13
Expected CONCACAF Gold Cups	0.31	6.74

When they've met

Meetings

Cuba 0W 0D 13L

Goals

6–51

Cuba first

First meeting

2–3

Mexico won · 1934-03-04 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

0–7

Mexico won · 2019-06-15 · Gold Cup

Cuba's biggest win

—

Never beaten Mexico

Mexico's biggest win

7–0

2019-06-15 · Gold Cup

Most common result

0–5

Cuba first · twice, last 2011-06-09

Current run

Won last 13

Mexico · since 1934-03-04

13 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2019-06-15	0–7	Neutral	Gold Cup
2015-07-09	0–6	Neutral	Gold Cup
2011-06-09	0–5	Neutral	Gold Cup
2007-06-08	1–2	Neutral	Gold Cup
1981-11-01	0–4	Neutral	CONCACAF Championship
1971-11-28	0–1	Neutral	CONCACAF Championship
1949-09-25	0–3	Mexico home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1949-09-11	0–2	Mexico home	NAFC Championship
1947-07-17	1–3	Cuba home	NAFC Championship
1935-03-30	1–6	Neutral	Central American and Caribbean Games
1934-03-18	1–4	Mexico home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1934-03-11	0–5	Mexico home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1934-03-04	2–3	Mexico home	FIFA World Cup qualification