Head to head

Croatia vs Wales

If they played today

Croatia at home

61% / 22% / 17%

Croatia win / draw / Wales win

Croatia–Wales

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.0%
1–1 10.4%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.0%

Neutral venue

53% / 24% / 23%

Croatia win / draw / Wales win

Croatia–Wales

1–1 11.4%
1–0 11.1%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.4%
0–1 6.7%

Wales at home

45% / 26% / 30%

Croatia win / draw / Wales win

Croatia–Wales

1–1 12.2%
1–0 10.4%
2–1 9.1%
0–1 8.1%
2–0 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Croatia	Wales
Current Elo	1943	1743
Elo rank	17th	52nd
Peak Elo	2057 (2023)	1904 (2021)
Matches played	400	726
All-time record	211W 104D 85L	234W 165D 327L
Goals for	694	910
Goals against	407	1160
Biggest win	10–0 vs San Marino · 2016-06-04 · Friendly	11–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1888-03-03 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Spain · 2018-09-11 · UEFA Nations League	0–9 vs Scotland · 1878-03-23 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.14	0.02
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	0.27	0.02

When they've met

Meetings

Croatia 4W 3D 1L

Goals

12–7

Croatia first

First meeting

1–1

Drawn · 2002-08-21 · Friendly

Most recent

1–2

Wales won · 2023-10-15 · UEFA Euro qualification

Croatia's biggest win

2–0

2012-10-16 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Wales' biggest win

2–1

2023-10-15 · UEFA Euro qualification

Most common result

1–1

Croatia first · 3 times, last 2023-03-25

Current run

Unbeaten in 3

Wales · since 2019-10-13

8 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2023-10-15	1–2	Wales home	UEFA Euro qualification
2023-03-25	1–1	Croatia home	UEFA Euro qualification
2019-10-13	1–1	Wales home	UEFA Euro qualification
2019-06-08	2–1	Croatia home	UEFA Euro qualification
2013-03-26	2–1	Wales home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2012-10-16	2–0	Croatia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2010-05-23	2–0	Croatia home	Friendly
2002-08-21	1–1	Croatia home	Friendly