Head to head

Croatia vs Tonga

If they played today

Croatia at home

96% / 4% / 0%

Croatia win / draw / Tonga win

Croatia–Tonga

3–0 21.1%
2–0 19.3%
4–0 17.2%
1–0 11.8%
5–0 11.3%

Neutral venue

94% / 6% / 1%

Croatia win / draw / Tonga win

Croatia–Tonga

3–0 19.9%
2–0 19.4%
4–0 15.3%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 9.4%

Tonga at home

90% / 8% / 2%

Croatia win / draw / Tonga win

Croatia–Tonga

2–0 18.2%
3–0 17.4%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 12.5%
5–0 7.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Croatia	Tonga
Current Elo	1943	1056
Elo rank	17th	198th
Peak Elo	2057 (2023)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	400	68
All-time record	211W 104D 85L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	694	81
Goals against	407	253
Biggest win	10–0 vs San Marino · 2016-06-04 · Friendly	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Spain · 2018-09-11 · UEFA Nations League	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.14	0.00

When they've met

Croatia and Tonga have never played each other.