Head to head

Croatia vs Sweden

If they played today

Croatia at home

57% / 23% / 20%

Croatia win / draw / Sweden win

Croatia–Sweden

1–0 11.3%
1–1 11.0%
2–0 10.1%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Neutral venue

49% / 25% / 26%

Croatia win / draw / Sweden win

Croatia–Sweden

1–1 11.9%
1–0 10.7%
2–1 9.4%
2–0 8.5%
0–1 7.4%

Sweden at home

41% / 26% / 33%

Croatia win / draw / Sweden win

Croatia–Sweden

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.0%
0–1 8.9%
2–1 8.6%
1–2 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Croatia	Sweden
Current Elo	1943	1797
Elo rank	17th	41st
Peak Elo	2057 (2023)	1955 (2018)
Matches played	400	1105
All-time record	211W 104D 85L	542W 234D 329L
Goals for	694	2178
Goals against	407	1431
Biggest win	10–0 vs San Marino · 2016-06-04 · Friendly	12–0 vs Latvia · 1927-05-29 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Spain · 2018-09-11 · UEFA Nations League	0–10 vs Denmark · 1913-10-05 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.14	0.52
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	0.27	0.31

When they've met

Meetings

Croatia 4W 0D 2L

Goals

8–7

Croatia first

First meeting

2–1

Croatia won · 2003-04-30 · Friendly

Most recent

1–2

Sweden won · 2020-11-14 · UEFA Nations League

Croatia's biggest win

2–1

2020-10-11 · UEFA Nations League

Sweden's biggest win

3–1

2012-02-29 · Friendly

Most common result

2–1

Croatia first · twice, last 2020-10-11

Current run

Won the last meeting

Sweden · since 2020-11-14

6 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2020-11-14	1–2	Sweden home	UEFA Nations League
2020-10-11	2–1	Croatia home	UEFA Nations League
2012-02-29	1–3	Croatia home	Friendly
2005-10-08	1–0	Croatia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2004-09-08	1–0	Sweden home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2003-04-30	2–1	Sweden home	Friendly