Head to head

Croatia vs Samoa

If they played today

Croatia at home

92% / 7% / 1%

Croatia win / draw / Samoa win

Croatia–Samoa

2–0 18.7%
3–0 18.4%
4–0 13.6%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 8.0%

Neutral venue

88% / 10% / 3%

Croatia win / draw / Samoa win

Croatia–Samoa

2–0 17.3%
3–0 15.9%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 11.0%
5–0 6.0%

Samoa at home

83% / 13% / 5%

Croatia win / draw / Samoa win

Croatia–Samoa

2–0 15.9%
3–0 13.6%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 8.7%
2–1 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Croatia	Samoa
Current Elo	1943	1216
Elo rank	17th	179th
Peak Elo	2057 (2023)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	400	71
All-time record	211W 104D 85L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	694	99
Goals against	407	249
Biggest win	10–0 vs San Marino · 2016-06-04 · Friendly	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Spain · 2018-09-11 · UEFA Nations League	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.14	0.00

When they've met

Croatia and Samoa have never played each other.