Head to head

Croatia vs Saint Lucia

If they played today

Croatia at home

91% / 7% / 1%

Croatia win / draw / Saint Lucia win

Croatia–Saint Lucia

2–0 18.6%
3–0 18.2%
4–0 13.4%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 7.8%

Neutral venue

87% / 10% / 3%

Croatia win / draw / Saint Lucia win

Croatia–Saint Lucia

2–0 17.2%
3–0 15.7%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 10.8%
5–0 5.9%

Saint Lucia at home

82% / 13% / 5%

Croatia win / draw / Saint Lucia win

Croatia–Saint Lucia

2–0 15.8%
3–0 13.4%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 8.5%
2–1 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Croatia	Saint Lucia
Current Elo	1943	1224
Elo rank	17th	177th
Peak Elo	2057 (2023)	1526 (1965)
Matches played	400	230
All-time record	211W 104D 85L	80W 33D 117L
Goals for	694	327
Goals against	407	438
Biggest win	10–0 vs San Marino · 2016-06-04 · Friendly	14–1 vs United States Virgin Islands · 2001-04-14 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Spain · 2018-09-11 · UEFA Nations League	0–8 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 2006-10-01 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.14	0.00

When they've met

Croatia and Saint Lucia have never played each other.