Head to head

Croatia vs Poland

If they played today

Croatia at home

58% / 23% / 19%

Croatia win / draw / Poland win

Croatia–Poland

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.8%
2–0 10.4%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.3%

Neutral venue

50% / 25% / 25%

Croatia win / draw / Poland win

Croatia–Poland

1–1 11.7%
1–0 10.8%
2–1 9.5%
2–0 8.8%
0–1 7.2%

Poland at home

42% / 26% / 32%

Croatia win / draw / Poland win

Croatia–Poland

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.2%
2–1 8.8%
0–1 8.6%
1–2 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Croatia	Poland
Current Elo	1943	1779
Elo rank	17th	44th
Peak Elo	2057 (2023)	1937 (1975)
Matches played	400	892
All-time record	211W 104D 85L	384W 225D 283L
Goals for	694	1499
Goals against	407	1201
Biggest win	10–0 vs San Marino · 2016-06-04 · Friendly	10–0 vs San Marino · 2009-04-01 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Spain · 2018-09-11 · UEFA Nations League	0–8 vs Denmark · 1948-06-26 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.14	0.24
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	0.27	0.10

When they've met

Meetings

Croatia 4W 2D 1L

Goals

11–6

Croatia first

First meeting

2–1

Croatia won · 1996-02-28 · Friendly

Most recent

3–3

Drawn · 2024-10-15 · UEFA Nations League

Croatia's biggest win

4–1

1998-04-22 · Friendly

Poland's biggest win

1–0

2006-06-03 · Friendly

Most common result

1–0

Croatia first · twice, last 2024-09-08

Current run

Unbeaten in 3

Croatia · since 2008-06-16

7 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2024-10-15	3–3	Poland home	UEFA Nations League
2024-09-08	1–0	Croatia home	UEFA Nations League
2008-06-16	1–0	Neutral	UEFA Euro
2006-06-03	0–1	Neutral	Friendly
2003-02-12	0–0	Croatia home	Friendly
1998-04-22	4–1	Croatia home	Friendly
1996-02-28	2–1	Croatia home	Friendly