Head to head

Croatia vs Northern Ireland

If they played today

Croatia at home

67% / 20% / 14%

Croatia win / draw / Northern Ireland win

Croatia–Northern Ireland

2–0 12.2%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.5%
3–0 8.3%

Neutral venue

59% / 22% / 19%

Croatia win / draw / Northern Ireland win

Croatia–Northern Ireland

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
2–0 10.6%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.5%

Northern Ireland at home

51% / 24% / 24%

Croatia win / draw / Northern Ireland win

Croatia–Northern Ireland

1–1 11.6%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 9.0%
0–1 7.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Croatia	Northern Ireland
Current Elo	1943	1667
Elo rank	17th	73rd
Peak Elo	2057 (2023)	1758 (1986)
Matches played	400	707
All-time record	211W 104D 85L	185W 160D 362L
Goals for	694	741
Goals against	407	1296
Biggest win	10–0 vs San Marino · 2016-06-04 · Friendly	7–0 vs Wales · 1930-02-01 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Spain · 2018-09-11 · UEFA Nations League	0–13 vs England · 1882-02-18 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.14	0.04
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	0.27	<0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Croatia 1W 0D 0L

Goals

3–0

Croatia first

First meeting

3–0

Croatia won · 2016-11-15 · Friendly

Most recent

3–0

Croatia won · 2016-11-15 · Friendly

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2016-11-15	3–0	Northern Ireland home	Friendly