Head to head

Croatia vs Mexico

If they played today

Croatia at home

39% / 26% / 34%

Croatia win / draw / Mexico win

Croatia–Mexico

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.9%
0–1 9.2%
2–1 8.5%
1–2 7.8%

Neutral venue

32% / 26% / 42%

Croatia win / draw / Mexico win

Croatia–Mexico

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.2%
1–2 8.9%
1–0 8.6%
2–1 7.4%

Mexico at home

25% / 25% / 50%

Croatia win / draw / Mexico win

Croatia–Mexico

1–1 11.7%
0–1 10.9%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 8.9%
1–0 7.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Croatia	Mexico
Current Elo	1943	2012
Elo rank	17th	12th
Peak Elo	2057 (2023)	2044 (2026)
Matches played	400	1008
All-time record	211W 104D 85L	518W 231D 259L
Goals for	694	1777
Goals against	407	1057
Biggest win	10–0 vs San Marino · 2016-06-04 · Friendly	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Spain · 2018-09-11 · UEFA Nations League	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.14	0.64

When they've met

Meetings

Croatia 4W 0D 2L

Goals

9–6

Croatia first

First meeting

3–0

Croatia won · 1992-10-22 · Friendly

Most recent

1–0

Croatia won · 2018-03-27 · Friendly

Croatia's biggest win

3–0

1992-10-22 · Friendly

Mexico's biggest win

3–1

2014-06-23 · FIFA World Cup

Most common result

2–1

Croatia first · twice, last 2017-05-28

Current run

Won last 2

Croatia · since 2017-05-28

6 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2018-03-27	1–0	Neutral	Friendly
2017-05-28	2–1	Neutral	Friendly
2014-06-23	1–3	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
2002-06-03	0–1	Neutral	FIFA World Cup
1999-06-16	2–1	Neutral	Korea Cup
1992-10-22	3–0	Croatia home	Friendly