Head to head

Croatia vs Finland

If they played today

Croatia at home

70% / 19% / 11%

Croatia win / draw / Finland win

Croatia–Finland

2–0 13.0%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.5%
3–0 9.3%
1–1 8.8%

Neutral venue

63% / 21% / 16%

Croatia win / draw / Finland win

Croatia–Finland

1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.4%
1–1 10.1%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.4%

Finland at home

55% / 23% / 21%

Croatia win / draw / Finland win

Croatia–Finland

1–0 11.2%
1–1 11.2%
2–0 9.8%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Croatia	Finland
Current Elo	1943	1616
Elo rank	17th	82nd
Peak Elo	2057 (2023)	1779 (2021)
Matches played	400	818
All-time record	211W 104D 85L	216W 166D 436L
Goals for	694	960
Goals against	407	1675
Biggest win	10–0 vs San Marino · 2016-06-04 · Friendly	10–2 vs Estonia · 1922-08-11 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–6 vs Spain · 2018-09-11 · UEFA Nations League	0–13 vs Germany · 1940-09-01 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.14	0.00
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	0.27	<0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Croatia 1W 1D 0L

Goals

2–1

Croatia first

First meeting

1–0

Croatia won · 2016-10-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2017-10-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Croatia's biggest win

1–0

2016-10-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Finland's biggest win

—

Never beaten Croatia

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Croatia · since 2016-10-09

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2017-10-06	1–1	Croatia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2016-10-09	1–0	Finland home	FIFA World Cup qualification