Head to head

Cook Islands vs Tonga

If they played today

Cook Islands at home

51% / 24% / 25%

Cook Islands win / draw / Tonga win

Cook Islands–Tonga

1–1 11.6%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 9.0%
0–1 7.1%

Neutral venue

43% / 26% / 31%

Cook Islands win / draw / Tonga win

Cook Islands–Tonga

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.2%
2–1 8.9%
0–1 8.5%
2–0 7.4%

Tonga at home

35% / 26% / 39%

Cook Islands win / draw / Tonga win

Cook Islands–Tonga

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.9%
1–0 9.3%
1–2 8.4%
2–1 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Cook Islands	Tonga
Current Elo	1131	1056
Elo rank	189th	198th
Peak Elo	1444 (1971)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	53	68
All-time record	11W 4D 38L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	43	81
Goals against	264	253
Biggest win	4–1 vs Tuvalu · 2007-09-01 · South Pacific Games	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–30 vs Tahiti · 1971-09-13 · South Pacific Games	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
OFC Nations Cups won	0	0
Expected OFC Nations Cups	0.03	0.00

When they've met

Meetings

Cook Islands 5W 2D 4L

Goals

16–15

Cook Islands first

First meeting

0–2

Tonga won · 1996-11-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

1–3

Tonga won · 2024-09-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Cook Islands' biggest win

3–0

2015-08-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Tonga's biggest win

3–1

2024-09-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most common result

2–1

Cook Islands first · 3 times, last 2023-11-21

Current run

Won the last meeting

Tonga · since 2024-09-06

11 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2024-09-06	1–3	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification
2024-03-26	1–0	Tonga home	Oceania Nations Cup qualification
2023-11-21	2–1	Neutral	Pacific Games
2015-08-31	3–0	Tonga home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2011-11-26	1–2	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification
2009-06-13	2–1	Tonga home	Friendly
2009-06-11	1–1	Tonga home	Friendly
2004-05-15	1–2	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification
2000-06-08	2–1	Neutral	Oceania Nations Cup qualification
1998-09-05	2–2	Cook Islands home	Oceania Nations Cup qualification
1996-11-11	0–2	Tonga home	FIFA World Cup qualification