Head to head

Congo vs Ethiopia

If they played today

Congo at home

40% / 26% / 34%

Congo win / draw / Ethiopia win

Congo–Ethiopia

1–1 12.5%
1–0 10.0%
0–1 9.1%
2–1 8.6%
1–2 7.8%

Neutral venue

32% / 26% / 42%

Congo win / draw / Ethiopia win

Congo–Ethiopia

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.2%
1–2 8.8%
1–0 8.7%
2–1 7.5%

Ethiopia at home

25% / 25% / 50%

Congo win / draw / Ethiopia win

Congo–Ethiopia

1–1 11.7%
0–1 10.8%
1–2 9.5%
0–2 8.8%
1–0 7.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Congo	Ethiopia
Current Elo	1330	1393
Elo rank	164th	148th
Peak Elo	1658 (1972)	1641 (1968)
Matches played	406	409
All-time record	134W 99D 173L	144W 93D 172L
Goals for	523	549
Goals against	598	595
Biggest win	11–0 vs Chad · 1964-03-28 · Friendly	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–8 vs Madagascar · 1960-04-18 · African Friendship Games	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	1	1
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.37	1.67

When they've met

Meetings

Congo 3W 0D 0L

Goals

9–4

Congo first

First meeting

3–0

Congo won · 1992-08-22 · Jordan International Tournament

Most recent

2–1

Congo won · 2015-11-17 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Congo's biggest win

3–0

1992-08-22 · Jordan International Tournament

Ethiopia's biggest win

—

Never beaten Congo

Current run

Won last 3

Congo · since 1992-08-22

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2015-11-17	2–1	Congo home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2015-11-14	4–3	Ethiopia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1992-08-22	3–0	Neutral	Jordan International Tournament