Head to head

China vs Tonga

If they played today

China at home

81% / 14% / 6%

China win / draw / Tonga win

China–Tonga

2–0 15.5%
3–0 12.9%
1–0 12.4%
4–0 8.0%
2–1 7.8%

Neutral venue

75% / 16% / 9%

China win / draw / Tonga win

China–Tonga

2–0 14.0%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.7%
2–1 8.9%
1–1 7.8%

Tonga at home

68% / 19% / 13%

China win / draw / Tonga win

China–Tonga

2–0 12.5%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.6%
1–1 9.2%
3–0 8.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	China	Tonga
Current Elo	1553	1056
Elo rank	93rd	198th
Peak Elo	1839 (2001)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	702	68
All-time record	339W 154D 209L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	1285	81
Goals against	768	253
Biggest win	19–0 vs Guam · 2000-01-26 · AFC Asian Cup qualification	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–8 vs Brazil · 2012-09-10 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.01	0.00

When they've met

China and Tonga have never played each other.