Head to head

China vs Samoa

If they played today

China at home

71% / 18% / 11%

China win / draw / Samoa win

China–Samoa

2–0 13.1%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 9.5%
2–1 9.4%
1–1 8.7%

Neutral venue

64% / 21% / 15%

China win / draw / Samoa win

China–Samoa

1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.6%
1–1 10.0%
2–1 9.8%
3–0 7.6%

Samoa at home

56% / 23% / 21%

China win / draw / Samoa win

China–Samoa

1–0 11.3%
1–1 11.1%
2–0 10.0%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	China	Samoa
Current Elo	1553	1216
Elo rank	93rd	179th
Peak Elo	1839 (2001)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	702	71
All-time record	339W 154D 209L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	1285	99
Goals against	768	249
Biggest win	19–0 vs Guam · 2000-01-26 · AFC Asian Cup qualification	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–8 vs Brazil · 2012-09-10 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.01	0.00

When they've met

China and Samoa have never played each other.