Head to head

China vs Italy

If they played today

China at home

19% / 23% / 58%

China win / draw / Italy win

China–Italy

0–1 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
0–2 10.5%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.4%

Neutral venue

14% / 20% / 66%

China win / draw / Italy win

China–Italy

0–2 12.1%
0–1 11.8%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.6%
0–3 8.2%

Italy at home

10% / 17% / 73%

China win / draw / Italy win

China–Italy

0–2 13.6%
0–1 12.2%
0–3 10.2%
1–2 9.2%
1–1 8.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	China	Italy
Current Elo	1553	1922
Elo rank	93rd	19th
Peak Elo	1839 (2001)	2140 (2021)
Matches played	702	893
All-time record	339W 154D 209L	477W 243D 173L
Goals for	1285	1565
Goals against	768	876
Biggest win	19–0 vs Guam · 2000-01-26 · AFC Asian Cup qualification	10–0 vs United States · 1975-04-02 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–8 vs Brazil · 2012-09-10 · Friendly	1–7 vs Hungary · 1924-04-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	4
Expected World Cups	0.01	1.66

When they've met

Meetings

China 0W 0D 1L

Goals

0–2

China first

First meeting

0–2

Italy won · 1986-05-11 · Friendly

Most recent

0–2

Italy won · 1986-05-11 · Friendly

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
1986-05-11	0–2	Italy home	Friendly