Head to head

Canada vs Wales

If they played today

Canada at home

53% / 24% / 23%

Canada win / draw / Wales win

Canada–Wales

1–1 11.4%
1–0 11.0%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.4%
0–1 6.7%

Neutral venue

45% / 26% / 30%

Canada win / draw / Wales win

Canada–Wales

1–1 12.2%
1–0 10.4%
2–1 9.1%
0–1 8.1%
2–0 7.8%

Wales at home

37% / 26% / 37%

Canada win / draw / Wales win

Canada–Wales

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.7%
1–0 9.6%
1–2 8.2%
2–1 8.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Canada	Wales
Current Elo	1841	1743
Elo rank	35th	52nd
Peak Elo	1964 (2022)	1904 (2021)
Matches played	474	726
All-time record	181W 109D 184L	234W 165D 327L
Goals for	617	910
Goals against	618	1160
Biggest win	11–0 vs Cayman Islands · 2021-03-29 · FIFA World Cup qualification	11–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1888-03-03 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	0–8 vs Mexico · 1993-07-18 · Gold Cup	0–9 vs Scotland · 1878-03-23 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.04	0.02

When they've met

Meetings

Canada 2W 0D 2L

Goals

3–4

Canada first

First meeting

2–0

Canada won · 1986-05-10 · Friendly

Most recent

1–0

Canada won · 2025-09-09 · Friendly

Canada's biggest win

2–0

1986-05-10 · Friendly

Wales' biggest win

3–0

1986-05-19 · Friendly

Current run

Won the last meeting

Canada · since 2025-09-09

4 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-09-09	1–0	Wales home	Friendly
2004-05-30	0–1	Wales home	Friendly
1986-05-19	0–3	Canada home	Friendly
1986-05-10	2–0	Canada home	Friendly