Head to head

Canada vs Tonga

If they played today

Canada at home

94% / 6% / 1%

Canada win / draw / Tonga win

Canada–Tonga

3–0 19.9%
2–0 19.4%
4–0 15.2%
1–0 12.6%
5–0 9.4%

Neutral venue

90% / 8% / 2%

Canada win / draw / Tonga win

Canada–Tonga

2–0 18.1%
3–0 17.3%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 12.4%
5–0 7.1%

Tonga at home

86% / 11% / 3%

Canada win / draw / Tonga win

Canada–Tonga

2–0 16.8%
3–0 14.9%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 10.0%
2–1 6.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Canada	Tonga
Current Elo	1841	1056
Elo rank	35th	198th
Peak Elo	1964 (2022)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	474	68
All-time record	181W 109D 184L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	617	81
Goals against	618	253
Biggest win	11–0 vs Cayman Islands · 2021-03-29 · FIFA World Cup qualification	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–8 vs Mexico · 1993-07-18 · Gold Cup	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.04	0.00

When they've met

Canada and Tonga have never played each other.