Head to head

Canada vs Tahiti

If they played today

Canada at home

71% / 18% / 11%

Canada win / draw / Tahiti win

Canada–Tahiti

2–0 13.1%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 9.5%
2–1 9.4%
1–1 8.7%

Neutral venue

63% / 21% / 16%

Canada win / draw / Tahiti win

Canada–Tahiti

1–0 11.7%
2–0 11.5%
1–1 10.0%
2–1 9.8%
3–0 7.6%

Tahiti at home

56% / 23% / 21%

Canada win / draw / Tahiti win

Canada–Tahiti

1–0 11.2%
1–1 11.1%
2–0 9.9%
2–1 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Canada	Tahiti
Current Elo	1841	1506
Elo rank	35th	109th
Peak Elo	1964 (2022)	1856 (1996)
Matches played	474	242
All-time record	181W 109D 184L	131W 31D 80L
Goals for	617	657
Goals against	618	371
Biggest win	11–0 vs Cayman Islands · 2021-03-29 · FIFA World Cup qualification	30–0 vs Cook Islands · 1971-09-13 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–8 vs Mexico · 1993-07-18 · Gold Cup	0–10 vs Spain · 2013-06-20 · Confederations Cup
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.04	0.00

When they've met

Canada and Tahiti have never played each other.