Head to head

Canada vs Samoa

If they played today

Canada at home

87% / 10% / 3%

Canada win / draw / Samoa win

Canada–Samoa

2–0 17.3%
3–0 15.9%
1–0 12.6%
4–0 10.9%
5–0 6.0%

Neutral venue

82% / 13% / 5%

Canada win / draw / Samoa win

Canada–Samoa

2–0 15.9%
3–0 13.5%
1–0 12.5%
4–0 8.6%
2–1 7.4%

Samoa at home

77% / 16% / 8%

Canada win / draw / Samoa win

Canada–Samoa

2–0 14.5%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.3%
2–1 8.7%
1–1 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Canada	Samoa
Current Elo	1841	1216
Elo rank	35th	179th
Peak Elo	1964 (2022)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	474	71
All-time record	181W 109D 184L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	617	99
Goals against	618	249
Biggest win	11–0 vs Cayman Islands · 2021-03-29 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–8 vs Mexico · 1993-07-18 · Gold Cup	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.04	0.00

When they've met

Canada and Samoa have never played each other.