Head to head

Canada vs Ethiopia

If they played today

Canada at home

78% / 15% / 7%

Canada win / draw / Ethiopia win

Canada–Ethiopia

2–0 14.8%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.8%
2–1 8.4%
4–0 7.1%

Neutral venue

72% / 18% / 10%

Canada win / draw / Ethiopia win

Canada–Ethiopia

2–0 13.3%
1–0 12.1%
3–0 9.7%
2–1 9.3%
1–1 8.5%

Ethiopia at home

64% / 21% / 15%

Canada win / draw / Ethiopia win

Canada–Ethiopia

1–0 11.8%
2–0 11.7%
1–1 9.8%
2–1 9.8%
3–0 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Canada	Ethiopia
Current Elo	1841	1393
Elo rank	35th	148th
Peak Elo	1964 (2022)	1641 (1968)
Matches played	474	409
All-time record	181W 109D 184L	144W 93D 172L
Goals for	617	549
Goals against	618	595
Biggest win	11–0 vs Cayman Islands · 2021-03-29 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–8 vs Mexico · 1993-07-18 · Gold Cup	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.04	0.00

When they've met

Canada and Ethiopia have never played each other.