Head to head

Canada vs Ecuador

If they played today

Canada at home

35% / 26% / 39%

Canada win / draw / Ecuador win

Canada–Ecuador

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.8%
1–0 9.3%
1–2 8.4%
2–1 7.9%

Neutral venue

28% / 25% / 47%

Canada win / draw / Ecuador win

Canada–Ecuador

1–1 12.0%
0–1 10.6%
1–2 9.3%
0–2 8.2%
1–0 7.8%

Ecuador at home

22% / 24% / 55%

Canada win / draw / Ecuador win

Canada–Ecuador

1–1 11.2%
0–1 11.2%
1–2 9.8%
0–2 9.8%
1–0 6.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Canada	Ecuador
Current Elo	1841	1964
Elo rank	35th	16th
Peak Elo	1964 (2022)	2028 (2026)
Matches played	474	595
All-time record	181W 109D 184L	184W 158D 253L
Goals for	617	719
Goals against	618	907
Biggest win	11–0 vs Cayman Islands · 2021-03-29 · FIFA World Cup qualification	6–0 vs Peru · 1975-06-22 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–8 vs Mexico · 1993-07-18 · Gold Cup	0–12 vs Argentina · 1942-01-22 · Copa América
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.04	0.08

When they've met

Meetings

Canada 0W 2D 2L

Goals

3–6

Canada first

First meeting

1–2

Ecuador won · 1999-06-06 · Friendly

Most recent

0–0

Drawn · 2025-11-13 · Friendly

Canada's biggest win

—

Never beaten Ecuador

Ecuador's biggest win

2–0

2002-01-22 · Gold Cup

Current run

Unbeaten in 4

Ecuador · since 1999-06-06

4 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-11-13	0–0	Canada home	Friendly
2011-06-01	2–2	Canada home	Friendly
2002-01-22	0–2	Neutral	Gold Cup
1999-06-06	1–2	Canada home	Friendly