Head to head

Burundi vs Uganda

If they played today

Burundi at home

35% / 26% / 39%

Burundi win / draw / Uganda win

Burundi–Uganda

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.9%
1–0 9.2%
1–2 8.4%
2–1 7.9%

Neutral venue

28% / 25% / 47%

Burundi win / draw / Uganda win

Burundi–Uganda

1–1 12.0%
0–1 10.6%
1–2 9.3%
0–2 8.2%
1–0 7.7%

Uganda at home

21% / 24% / 55%

Burundi win / draw / Uganda win

Burundi–Uganda

0–1 11.2%
1–1 11.2%
0–2 9.8%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Burundi	Uganda
Current Elo	1388	1514
Elo rank	150th	105th
Peak Elo	1594 (1998)	1707 (1978)
Matches played	218	685
All-time record	65W 52D 101L	285W 182D 218L
Goals for	237	1030
Goals against	295	809
Biggest win	8–1 vs Seychelles · 2021-09-04 · Friendly	13–1 vs Kenya · 1932-08-25 · Friendly
Biggest loss	1–9 vs Uganda · 1953-09-19 · Friendly	1–8 vs Nigeria · 1991-09-23 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	<0.01	0.56

When they've met

Meetings

Burundi 2W 3D 11L

Goals

14–38

Burundi first

First meeting

1–9

Uganda won · 1953-09-19 · Friendly

Most recent

1–2

Uganda won · 2017-12-17 · CECAFA Cup

Burundi's biggest win

2–0

2001-12-14 · CECAFA Cup

Uganda's biggest win

9–1

1953-09-19 · Friendly

Most common result

0–2

Burundi first · 3 times, last 2009-12-02

Current run

Unbeaten in 3

Uganda · since 2015-11-28

16 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2017-12-17	1–2	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2017-12-04	0–0	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2015-11-28	0–1	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2011-12-01	1–0	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2011-01-05	1–3	Neutral	Nile Basin Tournament
2009-12-02	0–2	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2009-01-11	0–5	Uganda home	CECAFA Cup
2007-12-22	0–2	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2001-12-14	2–0	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
2000-11-20	1–2	Uganda home	CECAFA Cup
1999-07-25	0–0	Neutral	CECAFA Cup
1981-08-06	2–2	Uganda home	Friendly
1976-10-11	0–1	Uganda home	Friendly
1976-10-09	0–2	Uganda home	Friendly
1964-10-09	5–7	Uganda home	Friendly
1953-09-19	1–9	Uganda home	Friendly