Head to head

Burundi vs Samoa

If they played today

Burundi at home

59% / 23% / 19%

Burundi win / draw / Samoa win

Burundi–Samoa

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
2–0 10.5%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.5%

Neutral venue

51% / 25% / 25%

Burundi win / draw / Samoa win

Burundi–Samoa

1–1 11.7%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 8.9%
0–1 7.1%

Samoa at home

43% / 26% / 31%

Burundi win / draw / Samoa win

Burundi–Samoa

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.2%
2–1 8.9%
0–1 8.5%
1–2 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Burundi	Samoa
Current Elo	1388	1216
Elo rank	150th	179th
Peak Elo	1594 (1998)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	218	71
All-time record	65W 52D 101L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	237	99
Goals against	295	249
Biggest win	8–1 vs Seychelles · 2021-09-04 · Friendly	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	1–9 vs Uganda · 1953-09-19 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Burundi and Samoa have never played each other.